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In June of 2015, one of the greatest experiments in road
diets took place on one of the most prominent commuter routes in the United
States. Ironically, it was entirely unintentional. One-third of the motor vehicle
lanes on Memorial Bridge between Arlington, VA, and Washington, D.C., were closed
to allow for emergency repairs. The repairs would last for many months.
The bridge handles a whopping 68,000
cars per day. The Federal Highway Administration recommends that only
streets with less than 25,000
cars per day should get road diets. Given the huge disparity in these
numbers, a traffic apocalypse should have happened by now. It should be
impossible to enter the District of Columbia from Virginia, unless you’re
prepared to swim. U.S. Senator Tim Kaine of Virginia warned of “unbearable
congestion” due to the closures.
So where is the apocalypse? Why aren’t people abandoning
their cars mid-span and walking across, as though an invisible snowstorm had
struck? Simple: motorists had warning and changed their habits.
The truth is that any road can have a successful implementation
of a road diet. In the latter part of the 20th century, Groningen, The
Netherlands, narrowed
a road with 4 through-lanes, a center turn lane, and 2 parking lanes. This
was no unimportant side street, as it lies between the center of town and the
central train station. The current configuration is now split into sections
with 2 through-lanes, a bus-only lane, and two protected bike lanes. The turn
lane is gone, as is a fair amount of parking. The road’s importance to
motorists dropped as they found either alternative routes or chose a different
mode, such as buses or bikes. Since the initial narrowing, parts of the street
have been further restricted to motorists, with buses getting priority.
The obstacle to road diets isn’t the traffic count. It’s
politics. Even when the traffic count is low, politicians will thunder forth
about the need to keep motorist convenience has a higher priority than the
safety of people who walk or bike, as the
mayor of Gainesville, FL, did in 2014. The mayor successfully campaigned to
remove bike lanes from a road with a mere 14,551 vehicles per day. No evidence
of congestion caused by the bike lanes existed, but political posturing is seldom
backed by facts.
That is the inherent problem with the debate over road
diets: those who oppose them use unverifiable anecdotes (to be generous) and
never manage to offer scientific data to back up their arguments. That can be
forgiven from a public that is largely uninformed on matters of transportation,
but it is inexcusable from professionals in the field.
Consider New Orleans: much like another Dutch city,
Amsterdam, the city is largely below sea level. That means the topography is
ideal for biking and walking. But, as I found on a recent trip, current street
conditions are hardly up to the Dutch standard. Bike lanes are rare, even
though streets are often very wide. That makes life a little tough for all
vulnerable road users, but many leaders in post-Katrina New Orleans recognize
the need to better. So, the Baronne Street road diet project was put forward.
The Baronne Street project would be no mere set of stripes
on the road, but a protected bike lane buffered from moving vehicles by a
parking lane. The bike lane would be created via a reduction in motor vehicle
lanes on a one-way street from 2 to 1.
As with all things, it isn’t considered perfect, but people who bike love it. Yet
they had opposition from a transportation professional.
A New Orleans transportation engineer wrote
emails to his supervisor claiming that traffic would be gridlocked with the
loss of a lane. Although he cited little more than anecdotal evidence and an
internal Level of Service (LOS) study, his emails were enough to persuade a
judge to grant a temporary
order freezing the project. Thankfully, the judge later ruled that there
were no
legal grounds to stop the project.
This engineer thought a shared lane, or sharrow,
would suffice. Those who bike in New Orleans thought otherwise, which is why so
many of them turned out to the public hearings on the project. So, why couldn’t
this engineer produce anything more than discredited
LOS modeling? Simple: scientific evidence that road diets cause congestion
does not exist.
That should not be surprising. Transportation experts who are on the cutting edge of the field have
long known that induced demand results from road expansions; why should the
opposite strategy not produce opposite results? Even the state of California’s
Department of Transportation, Caltrans, admitted
recently in public that bigger roads cause more traffic (though I’d heard
it from them at an event over a year ago).
But old habits are hard to break, so
Caltrans plans a monumental road expansion via a
tunnel project in the Los Angeles area. I cannot argue that switching from
surface parking lots (LA’s current freeway system) to underground parking (this
project’s certain outcome) is progress.
The utility of wide highways is clearly not as scientifically
supported as parts of the profession or the large swathes of the public think
it is. Perhaps a few more completed road diets, even if somewhat unintentional
like DC’s Memorial Bridge, will finally put an end to debunked, old-school,
transportation thinking.
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Wednesday, January 27, 2016
The Unintentional Road Diet
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